Android Tablets Prediction - Android Tablets to surpass iPad

Earlier last year, I predicted that Android will surpass iPhone in sales volume.  The prediction was proven correct.  

(http://nextgenapp.blogspot.com/2010/08/wow-android-prediction-update-my.html, http://nextgenapp.blogspot.com/2010/06/android-prediction.html)

Now, I want to put forward another prediction.  Android tablets will surpass iPad sales just like Android phones surpassed iphone sales.  It may take a year or two, but it will eventually happen.

The reason is simple.  The combined innovation of multiple players will eventually overtake one single company.  As long as Apple's iOS remains a closed system, the result will be inevitable.  The history will likely repeat itself.

When I gave the prediction last year about Android will surpass iPhone, I did not think it was a difficult prediction to make.  But many many people were very skeptical about that prediction.  With the Android's success, I have a higher confidence level about my prediction this time and I certainly think there will be less skepticism about my prediction this time around.  

Let's see how things play out.

Wow! Android Prediction Update - My Prediction Comes True!

Wow, wow, wow!  My prediction about Android selling more phones than iPhone has come true, much sooner than I predicted.  I am wrong in how soon this will occur.  It happened this quarter already!  

According to Nielsen, 

"In terms of subscriptions over the past month, Android has surpassed iPhone in new users, with 27 percent of smartphone subscribers going with Android compared to the iPhone’s 23 percent. "

 

http://phandroid.com/2010/08/02/android-edges-past-iphone-in-smartphone-subscriptions/

http://www.androidguys.com/2010/08/02/nielson-android-outsells-iphone-handsets-q2/

Android Prediction Update - AdMob predicts more Android than iPhone by end of this year

Admob's prediction is a lot more aggressive than my prediction.  They predict more Android users than iPhone users by end of 2010.
http://venturebeat.com/2010/07/12/mobilebeat-android-users-will-surpass-iphone-users-by-end-of-2010/

Android Prediction Update - 1.7m iPhone4 in 3 days, 3m iPhone4 in 3 weeks

Although news said that 1.7m iPhone4 sold in 3 days and 3m iPhone4 sold in 3 weeks, I still believe Android will eventually be able to outsell iPhone within a year, unless iPhone is open to other carriers.

Update on Android Prediction - 160000 Android Activations a day

A few day after my "Android Prediction" post, where I think that there will be at least one quarter where Android outsells iPhone (in one year), Google said there are 160000 Android activations a day.  More data point to support my prediction.  I couldn't ask for a better timing in that announcements.  :)

source:
http://techcrunch.com/2010/06/23/160000-android-phones-sold-per-day/